Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
2026 43.8%Führend unter 8 Optionen
2026 43.8%Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+3.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet11. Jan. 24, 01:34 UTC1. Jan. 31, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?
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KalshiRegeln
The resolve year will be the year I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion.
- I will try my best to be impartial, and I will use my judgement.
- (edit: once I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion, I will conduct a poll on Manifold asking if AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion, and resolve Yes to the year if the poll has more vote on Yes than No)