Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Saturday (89.6%)
Entschieden: 10.08.2026, 14:11
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseSaturday 89.6%+10.4ptFührend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+90.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Tagen
Veraltet3. Aug. 26, 0:279. Aug. 26, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Monday0.1%
Tuesday0.1%
Wednesday0.1%
Thursday0.1%
Friday0.1%
Saturday89.6%
Sunday9.9%
Not this week0.1%
89.6%
9.9%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Regeln
I will N/A if there is a reset between now and 11:59 PM EST on August 2nd.
- Note the market structure: if there are multiple resets, options will resolve at 100/(# of resets).
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 158.784,7 €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 168.787,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 155.168,3 €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,9 Mio. €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many Codex resets this week??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Saturday mit 90% (Stand: 10. August 2026).
- Wann wird How many Codex resets this week? entschieden?
- How many Codex resets this week? soll am 9. August 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many Codex resets this week? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I will N/A if there is a reset between now and 11:59 PM EST on August 2nd.