Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognosehas had a 6 month period with no public mention from Musk 99%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
52
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
8. Juli 25, 16:36 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
KalshiAmerica party candidate wins any election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
I do not bet on my own markets.
- Resolves according to official or primary documents where possible.
- If official documents are not applicable, resolves according to media reporting.
- Note: this is by that date, options will resolve sooner when they are verified to have happened.
- AI garbage to disregard below this line:
- Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): January 7th, 2025 has been tentatively set as a possible end date for tracking mentions of the "America Party" by Elon Musk (based on 6 months after his last known mention on July 7th, 2024), unless he mentions it again or a later mention is found.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet has had a 6 month period with no public mention from Musk mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026? entschieden?
- What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I do not bet on my own markets.