Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseHe will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator 89.6%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
41
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet4. Mai 24, 02:42 UTC31. Dez. 26, 10:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiDeepSeek market share this week
KalshiRegeln
If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person.
- If there's not a generally accepted person but there is a generally accepted company this resolves to the CEO of that company.
- If there is neither a generally accepted person, nor a generally accepted company, these may resolve to prob according to the characteristics of the various candidates.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 75.086,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 61.476,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 61.059,8 €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be true about the person who creates AGI??
- Manifold Markets bewertet He will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator mit 90% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be true about the person who creates AGI? entschieden?
- What will be true about the person who creates AGI? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be true about the person who creates AGI? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person.