Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose85° S 30.6%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet21. Apr. 26, 03:36 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions?
Manifold MarketsWill the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
Manifold MarketsWill China fake their first "lunar landing"?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX or Blue Origin conduct or be contracted to conduct a private lunar landing before 2035?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official landing coordinates of the first Artemis mission to successfully land (presumed Artemis IV) as confirmed by NASA.
- The winning answer will correspond to the degree of southern latitude of the actual landing site.
- Latitudes always round down.
- If the landing mission does not occur (e.g., if the mission is cancelled), the market will resolve to N/A. Official confirmation will be sourced from NASA press releases or official mission reports available at nasa.gov.