Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.4%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet12. Apr. 26, 01:24 UTC21. Jan. 31, 02:17 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?
Manifold MarketsWill China fake their first "lunar landing"?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Artemis refuelling launches have a 100% landing success rate?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing?
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if Artemis lands on moon with boots on lunar surface before Chinese human boots on the lunar surface, AND Chinese do not land on lunar surface with human boots within 2 years OR immediately totally shift focus to another solar body for astronaut landings.
- Resolves NO if Chinese put human boots on the moon before Artemis OR within 2 years of Artemis human lunar landing Chinese replicate the feat.
- Market will be extended as necessary but resolves once clarity.
- Sources will be official communications of the relevant national space agencies or eminently reliable reporting.
