Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose30-40% 32.7%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet16. Jan. 26, 20:49 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In what year will Remote Labor Index automation rate reaches 80%?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the highest reported Remote Labor Index (RLI) AI automation rate by the end of each of the following years?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the best OpenAI-Proof Q&A score by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
This market matches Remote Work: Remote Labor Index from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the highest reported automation rate on the RLI benchmark as of December 31, 2026, using official Scale AI / CAIS releases (paper or leaderboard).
- If a clear successor version of RLI is released with comparable scope, the question resolves according to the newest official version.
- Which AI systems count?