Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 19:45 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognosePuerto Rico 49.3%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Prognostiker
38
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet2. Mai 24, 19:46 UTC1. Jan. 41, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?
Manifold MarketsWill New Hampshire remain the freest state in the United States, according to the Cato Institute, from 2023 to 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill any state in the United States be carbon neutral before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketRegeln
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/51st_state
- Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple new states are added simultaneously: The market will resolve 50/50 between those states.
- Naming: This market resolves based on the colloquial area name, not the official state name.
- For example, if DC becomes a state with the official name "The State of Columbia", it would still resolve to the "the named outcome" answer option.