Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 01:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Other 43.6%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet14. Feb. 26, 08:54 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2037?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- NASA officially expects Artemis III to launch no earlier than 2028.
- CNSA have said they will land on the Moon before the end of 2030.
- The market resolves to the month in which the next human successfully lands on the Moon.
- Resolution will be determined by official NASA or CNSA announcements.
- The landing must involve at least one human touching the lunar surface, ie leaving their lander.