Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 68.1%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet26. Nov. 25, 15:11 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2029, the US federal government enacts a stimulus package of at least $500 billion in projected net fiscal cost whose primary stated purpose is to mitigate large‑scale unemployment or worker displacement attributed to artificial intelligence or automation.
- What counts as a qualifying “stimulus package”?
- For this market:
- It must be federal legislation (an Act of Congress signed by the President or enacted over a veto) that:
- Is commonly described in official and media coverage as an “economic stimulus,” “relief,” or similar package; and
- Has a projected net fiscal cost of ≥ $500 billion over its official budget window, based on CBO, OMB, or broadly accepted estimates.
