US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?
One-OffMacro & EconomyBonds & TreasuriesChinaGeopolitik3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 97.5%
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Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet7. Apr. 25, 21:42 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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The market will resolve YES if the United States government intentionally fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on Treasury securities held by Chinese entities (including the Chinese government, Chinese banks, or other Chinese state-owned enterprises) by their due date at any time before 2027.
- The default must involve at least $100 million USD in missed payments.
- If the US restructures, delays, or partially reduces payments specifically on Chinese-held debt while maintaining payments to other creditors, this will be considered a selective default and resolve as YES.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US defaults on debt held by China before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird US defaults on debt held by China before 2027? entschieden?
- US defaults on debt held by China before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US defaults on debt held by China before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The market will resolve YES if the United States government intentionally fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on Treasury securities held by Chinese entities (including the Chinese government, Chinese banks, or other Chinese state-owned enterprises) by their due date at any time before 2027.