KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 5%
Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
5,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.4% / 3.8%
Spread
850.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
12. März 26, 14:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes5%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
US defaults on debt by 2027?
0.1%Geschlossen
3%
97%
44 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen13.561,5 €
24h-Volumen4,5 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Will South Korea issue at least ₩15T in KTBs in July 2026?
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LIMITLESS
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30 year interest rates greater than 7.5% by EOY 2028
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
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KALSHI
Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
0 €Ja: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.