KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 89%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1548,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
8.0% / 10.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
19. Aug. 26, 22:00 UTC1. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:U.S. Department of the Treasury
Offene Märkte
Macro & EconomyKALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-29.0pt19%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 45.847,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 20.988,7 €
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- $518K - $524K+10.1pt31.1%
- $524K - $530K+11.4pt25.5%
- $530K - $536K-20.6pt16%
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- $1.153M - $1.169M+12.5pt37.4%
- $1.137M - $1.153M-6.0pt31.3%
- <$1.137M-25.6pt14.1%
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-3.0pt86.8%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt7.5%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34.874 €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+1.0pt40%
- Above $4.80+2.0pt33%
- Above $5.0029%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
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- How high will the S&P get this year?
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- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US defaults before 2029??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird US defaults before 2029? entschieden?
- US defaults before 2029? soll am 1. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US defaults before 2029? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.