KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 88%
Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
0,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 12.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
19. Aug. 26, 22:00 UTC1. Jan. 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:U.S. Department of the Treasury
Offene Märkte
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-0.7pt9%
- 3.8%+3.0pt8%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 211.333,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7296,1 €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-27.0pt50%
- 4.85%-25.5pt41%
- 4.94%-10.0pt30%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%+5.5pt79%
- Below 4.73%+15.5pt76%
- Below 4.70%+9.0pt59%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2263,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2149,5 €
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.19% or above99%
- 5.17% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2162,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2012,2 €
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US defaults before 2030??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird US defaults before 2030? entschieden?
- US defaults before 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US defaults before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.