Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 38 Minuten
18. Mai 26, 17:48 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?
Manifold MarketsUS x China Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsHot war between the US and China by the end of 2026?
FutuurUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketBy 2027, will the presidents of the US and China participate in a conversation in which an LLM also participates?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States government and the government of the People's Republic of China issue a joint, public statement or sign a formal agreement establishing a bilateral arrangement, framework, or pact specifically concerning artificial intelligence safety, governance, or cooperation before January 1, 2027.
- The arrangement must be explicitly identified as being between the US and China.
- Unilateral policies, separate statements made at the same event, or agreements made only through multilateral organizations (such as the UN or G20) without a distinct bilateral component do not qualify.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the White House (whitehouse.gov) or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China (fmprc.gov.cn).
