PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 96%+0.3pt
Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
91,6 €
Liquidität
20.585 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.2% / 5.0%
Spread
1.8 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
13
7d-Änderung
+0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
14. Jan. 26, 19:14 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsChina-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US x China Military clash before 2027??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 96% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird US x China Military clash before 2027? entschieden?
- US x China Military clash before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US x China Military clash before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.