Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 76.8%
Prognostiker
36
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet25. März 26, 20:04 UTC25. März 27, 19:48 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump impeached before Iran war's end?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a separate, second ceasefire in the America / Iran war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives before the Iran war ends.
- The Iran war is defined as the conflict that began on February 28, 2026, when the United States and Israel launched surprise airstrikes on multiple sites across Iran.
- The war ends when a ceasefire agreement is formally signed and takes effect, or when major combat operations cease for 14 days
- Resolution will be determined by:
- Impeachment: Official House vote to impeach Trump on any charges