Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
PolitikOne-OffGeopolitikMiddle EastUS Politics3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 54.9%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
28. Feb. 26, 16:48 UTC1. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The US and Iran will be considered at war if military hostilities between the two nations are actively occurring on January 1st, 2027.
- This includes direct combat operations, sustained military strikes, or active armed conflict.
- Iran's retaliatory ballistic missile attacks on US military bases and Israel following the February 28, 2026 US and Israeli military strikes on Iran constitute evidence of active warfare.
- The market resolves YES if military operations continue through January 1st, 2027.
- The market resolves NO if a ceasefire, peace agreement, or cessation of hostilities has been established before that date, or if no active military conflict exists on that date.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 55% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? entschieden?
- Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria