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Ja 52.9%
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6
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Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
2. Jan. 26, 07:40 UTC6. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will "the fate of humanity depend on" spaceethics.org/elifism "already in a few years"?
Manifold MarketsWill IPO count exceed 300 any year between 2024-2027? (AI boom?)
Manifold MarketsIn 5 years, will we see "dozens of cures every month as opposed to every few years"?
Manifold MarketsWhat years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.