Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 72.1%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 58 Minuten
Verzogert4. Juni 25, 21:32 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
This market predicts whether sales to fleet operators will account for more than 30% of Tesla's total vehicle sales by the end of 2027.
- Currently, Tesla's sales are primarily to individual consumers.
- Source Resolution will be based on Tesla's official sales data for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2027.
- Update 2026-03-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cybercabs and other vehicles transferred to Tesla's robotaxi division do not count as fleet sales for the purposes of this market's resolution.