Should I expect Democrats to win back the house in 2026 midterm election?
42.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 202628T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseYes, Democrats will win back the House 92%+42.0pt
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+42.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet31. Okt. 26, 18:06 UTC30. Nov. 26, 11:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win back the house in 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill "Why we should expect ruthless sociopath ASI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats lose the house in the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election?
PredictItRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official outcome of the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections.
- Each answer option will resolve independently as follows:
- "the named outcome": Resolves YES if the Democratic Party wins at least 218 seats (or a majority of the seats contested) in the 2026 U.S. House elections, thereby taking majority control of the chamber for the 120th Congress.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- "the named outcome": Resolves YES if the Republican Party retains at least 218 seats (or a working majority) following the 2026 midterm elections.
