Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
7.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffWahlUS-PolitikUS-Zwischenwahlen 20265T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Nein · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
Nein 86%
Nein 86%Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
326,3 €
Liquidität
10.386,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
473,6 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
NeinSpread
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Kommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-6.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
1. Sept. 26, 16:20 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
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- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · Nein
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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PredictItRegeln
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any federal or statewide election held on November 3 has a margin of victory of 0.01% or less.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate or option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- In the midterms, a federal election is an election to either the United States Senate or House of Representatives (including non-voting seats), and a statewide election is any election, excluding ballot measures, which is on the ballot for all voting individuals within one of the fifty United States.
