PredictItVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 76%
Nein 76%Methodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
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24h-Volumen
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
7. Juli 26, 14:56 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the House impeach a federal judge this year?
KalshiFederal judge charged with treason/sedition before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill both the house and Senate successfully vote to impeach a federal judge by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Manifold MarketsCurrent or former US senator, congressman, congresswoman, or a federal judge sent to CECOT during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
PolymarketRegeln
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the U.S. House of Representatives votes to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of any sitting Article III Judge, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 7, 2026 and by the End Date listed below.
For purposes of resolving this market, Article III judges consist of judges of the following five types of courts: United States District Courts (including territorial courts), Article III United States Courts of Appeals, the United States Court of Federal Claims, the United States Court of International Trade, and the Supreme Court of the United States.
For purposes of resolving this market, Article III judges consist of judges of the following five types of courts: United States District Courts (including territorial courts), Article III United States Courts of Appeals, the United States Court of Federal Claims, the United States Court of International Trade, and the Supreme Court of the United States.
- Neither the Superior Court of the District of Columbia nor the District of Columbia Court of Appeals are considered part of the federal judiciary as defined in the Rules.
Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to cause this market to resolve as Yes.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)