Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Natural death (or one appearing as such) 25.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Natural death (or one appearing as such) 25.5%Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet5. Dez. 24, 18:11 UTC1. Jan. 41, 20:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Vladimir Putin be alive and out of custody for at least 7 days after he ceases to be the president of Russia?
Manifold MarketsHow will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?
Manifold MarketsIf Eliezer Yudkowsky loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what is the reason why?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the primary reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia.
- If multiple events occur simultaneously or in quick succession (e.g., a the named outcome followed by impeachment), the market will resolve to the initial triggering event.
- Resolution criteria for each option:
- Obviously unnatural death: Clear evidence of assassination, missile strike, or other non-natural causes
- Natural death (or one appearing as such): Death attributed to health issues or age-related causes, or deaths where the cause is unclear/disputed
