Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Natural death (or one appearing as such) 25.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet5. Dez. 24, 18:11 UTC1. Jan. 41, 20:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin be alive and out of custody for at least 7 days after he ceases to be the president of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?
PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the primary reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia.
- If multiple events occur simultaneously or in quick succession (e.g., a the named outcome followed by impeachment), the market will resolve to the initial triggering event.
- Resolution criteria for each option:
- Obviously unnatural death: Clear evidence of assassination, missile strike, or other non-natural causes
- Natural death (or one appearing as such): Death attributed to health issues or age-related causes, or deaths where the cause is unclear/disputed
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Natural death (or one appearing as such) mit 26% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia entschieden?
- Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia soll am 1. Januar 2041 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria