How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?
PolitikOne-OffWahlGeopolitikRussland / Ukraine14J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDie in office 73.7%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+7.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 37 Minuten
16. Aug. 23, 09:56 UTC31. Dez. 40, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia
Manifold MarketsWhen will Putin cease to be the President of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Here are some details on the individual answers:
- the named outcome - this also applies if Putin doesn't actually die but becomes severely incapacitated and unable to rule while in office (like Salazar).
- the named outcome - this implies Putin accepts the results.
- If he holds on to power, he doesn't cease to become president.
- the named outcome - this would mean he maintains significant control of the country/government/security services, e.g. as a Prime Minister, Head of Security Council or some kind of Father of the Nation (like Nazarbayev).
- the named outcome - by anything from a palace coup (think Khrushchev) to a popular uprising.
