Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2030 33.9%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet10. Dez. 23, 06:11 UTC23. Okt. 50, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.1%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWhich country would land the next person on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWill Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves to the year that China first successfully lands a person on the Moon.
Offene Märkte
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 303.646,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 298.799,3 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.3pt97%
- Google2%
- OpenAI1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 46.799,9 €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 202864%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt44%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 944.860,7 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX+3.5pt51.5%
- Anthropic-3.7pt47.5%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture-2.0pt40.6%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer-1.0pt36.6%
- No solution by Dec 31, 2027+1.0pt16.8%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+3.0pt85.2%
- Google-1.8pt6.9%
- OpenAI-1.9pt5.9%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- #3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für On which year will China first land a person on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2030 mit 34% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird On which year will China first land a person on the Moon? entschieden?
- On which year will China first land a person on the Moon? soll am 23. Oktober 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird On which year will China first land a person on the Moon? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to the year that China first successfully lands a person on the Moon.