Aktuelle Community-Prognose
United States of America 53.7%Führend unter 20 Optionen
United States of America 53.7%Prognostiker
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet10. Jan. 24, 10:07 UTC31. Okt. 32, 18:29 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsOn which year will China first land a person on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill NASA land a person on the moon before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump nationalize SpaceX?
KalshiWill Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If there's a mission with more than 1 person from more than 1 country, the market will consider which of them first step on the surface of our moon.
- If that person holds multiple countries' citizenship, then it resolves to whatever country's space organization sent that person.
- If even that is ambiguous, in case of a joint/collaborative effort, then it resolves to the birth country of that person.
- By landing, it is meant that the person is alive after landing.
- It will not count if there's an explosion upon touchdown and the person dies, for example.
- It does not have to be a perfect landing.
