KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 96%
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
7,7 €
Liquidität
8217 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.0% / 4.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
6. Juni 25, 20:45 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump nationalize elections?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill the FY27 NASA Budget be larger than FY25?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegeln
If the United States begins the process of nationalizing SpaceX before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:relevant federal courtsofficial White House press pool reportsthe United States CongressFederal RegisterSecurities and Exchange CommissionBoard of Governors of the Federal ReserveDepartment of the TreasuryDepartment of Justice Office of the Pardon AttorneyNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforEnergy Information AdministrationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
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Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump nationalize SpaceX??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 96% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? entschieden?
- Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the United States begins the process of nationalizing SpaceX before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.