Non-AI catastrophe before 2100?

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Non-AI catastrophe before 2100??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 70.7% (Stand: 31. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Non-AI catastrophe before 2100? entschieden?

Non-AI catastrophe before 2100? soll am 31. Dezember 2099 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Non-AI catastrophe before 2100? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Operationalised as 1billion or more people dying in a 365 day range that ends before 2100, conditional on there not being any AGI created before 2100

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

Kostenloses JSON zu diesem Markt, ohne API-Schlüssel:

KI-Agenten: pm_data_event über den MCP-Server von CoinRithm aufrufen:

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+6.5pt58%
• Anthropic-0.9pt42%
• ByteDance0%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

6,3 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

194.822,6 €

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google-1.0pt56.6%
• Anthropic+0.5pt35.4%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.1%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.5pt31%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.2pt22%
• $1.5–$1.75T-7.7pt16%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-0.5pt52.7%
• Claude+2.6pt39.1%
• ChatGPT+0.8pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-5.0pt85%
• December 15,-6.5pt83%
• November 30,-3.0pt80%

+15 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Date

• November 2026.2%
• No IPO by November 30, 2026+3.0pt21.5%
• November 18-1.5pt15.9%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• Gemini Carbon released on?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Google market share this week
• OpenAI market share this week
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Best AI this week