Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Before 2027-02-16 92.2%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+42.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet28. Okt. 26, 15:52 UTC16. Feb. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by which date?
PolymarketWill Meta release Llama 5 this year?
KalshiWill OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta release a smartwatch in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Google or Meta release a commercial facial recognition search product?
Manifold MarketsGrand Theft Auto VI: Release date
KalshiRegeln
The '+' means any version at or above 1.1 counts: if Meta skips 1.1 and releases Muse Wonder 1.2 or Muse Wonder 2, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Muse Wonder 1.1, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.