[Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?
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7. Nov. 23, 00:06 UTC2. Feb. 50, 20:31 UTC
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By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/8404/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve positively if, in any year between 2021 to 2049 (inclusive), 25% or more of the books that top that year's New York Times' Best Sellers list in the category of adult fiction were written by AI.
- For example, the NYT top Best Sellers of 2020 are listed here.
- If the NYT Best Sellers list is no longer available until 2050 or no longer ranks adult fiction books, Metaculus Admins may select a similar ranking of bestselling fiction, or resolve ambiguously at their discretion.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für [Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 68% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird [Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI? entschieden?
- [Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI? soll am 2. Februar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird [Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?