Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 17:45 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 90.7%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet25. Juli 26, 12:32 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Kimi K4 released by which date?
PolymarketWill the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?
KalshiKimi Moonshoot IPO before 2028?
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Moonshot AI officially releases or makes publicly available the "Kimi K4" large language model (or any model explicitly designated under the "Kimi K4" naming convention, such as Kimi K4 Max, Kimi K4 Swarm, or Kimi K4 Base) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- To qualify for a YES resolution, the model must be made available through at least one of the following:
- Released open-weights to the public (e.g., via Hugging Face or the Moonshot AI GitHub)
- Integrated as an active model variant in the Kimi chat interface/app (kimi.com)