Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Kimi K4 released in 2026??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 90.7% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Kimi K4 released in 2026? entschieden?

Kimi K4 released in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria

China KIOne-Off2Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 90.7%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden

Veraltet

25. Juli 26, 12:32 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Moonshot AI officially releases or makes publicly available the "Kimi K4" large language model (or any model explicitly designated under the "Kimi K4" naming convention, such as Kimi K4 Max, Kimi K4 Swarm, or Kimi K4 Base) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
To qualify for a YES resolution, the model must be made available through at least one of the following:
Released open-weights to the public (e.g., via Hugging Face or the Moonshot AI GitHub)
Integrated as an active model variant in the Kimi chat interface/app (kimi.com)