Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75.4%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet27. Apr. 26, 03:00 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will JD Vance and Gavin Newsom face each other in the 2028 Presidential Election
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PredictItWill food be grown on mars before a surgery takes place on the moon
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if JD Vance undergoes any cosmetic surgical procedure on his jaw or face (including, but not limited to, jawline contouring, chin augmentation, rhytidectomy/facelift, or blepharoplasty) between the date of this market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal) or official statements from JD Vance or his authorized representatives confirming the procedure.
- If it is ambiguous whether a procedure is "cosmetic" (e.g., reconstructive surgery following an injury or medically necessary corrective surgery), the market will resolve to "No" unless the surgeon or official sources explicitly characterize the procedure as cosmetic.
- If no such confirmation is available by the resolution date, the market resolves to "No."
- JD Vance, currently serving as a U.S. Senator from Ohio and the Vice President-elect of the United States, has faced public speculation regarding his appearance as his national profile has increased.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028 entschieden?
- JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028 soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria