KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Apr 1, 2027 97%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
105,1 €
Liquidität
1584,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
6.1 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
7. Apr. 26, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Apr 1, 2027 mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? entschieden?
- When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.