Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
7.4 Pkt. (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsPolitikKI1J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 68.7%-7.4ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
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25
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multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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7d-Änderung
-7.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
9. Nov. 24, 15:37 UTC17. Jan. 28, 06:59 UTC
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This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.
- Terms for the Market
- Notable Integration:
- Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
- Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
- Qualifying Political Figure: