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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. US Politics
  3. Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?

Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?

One-OffUS PoliticsPolitikKI1J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja
Ja 13.9%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker

25

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert gestern

Veraltet
9. Nov. 24, 15:3717. Jan. 28, 6:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes14%

Regeln

This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.

Manifold Markets
  • Terms for the Market
  • Notable Integration:
  • Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
  • Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
  • Qualifying Political Figure:

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$65,925.21+2.16%EthereumETH$1,721.34+2.38%SolanaSOL$71.27+3.35%DogecoinDOGE$0.089+1.04%BNBBNB$617.89+1.31%XRPXRP$1.19+3.04%

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Regeln

This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.

Manifold Markets
  • Terms for the Market
  • Notable Integration:
  • Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
  • Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
  • Qualifying Political Figure: