Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 93.7%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet23. März 26, 15:27 UTC1. Jan. 31, 15:22 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a non-Mersenne prime become the largest known prime at some point before 2030-01-01?
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KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- 52 Mersenne primes are known, with the largest known prime number being 2^136279841 − 1, which is a Mersenne prime.
- This market resolves YES if M136279841 is confirmed as the 52nd known Mersenne prime.
- Resolution can be verified at the official GIMPS website: https://www.mersenne.org/primes
- M136279841 was initially identified as probably prime on October 11, 2024 by an NVIDIA A100 GPU in Dublin, Ireland, and confirmed with a Lucas-Lehmer test on October 12 by an NVIDIA H100 in San Antonio, Texas.
- This number has 41,024,320 decimal digits and is over 16 million digits larger than the previous record prime number.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.179,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 536.731,4 €
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- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
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- Anthropic89.9%
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- Google-0.1pt2%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Is M136279841 the 52th mersenne prime number??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 94% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Is M136279841 the 52th mersenne prime number? entschieden?
- Is M136279841 the 52th mersenne prime number? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Is M136279841 the 52th mersenne prime number? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria