Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 79.3%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet22. Juli 26, 15:28 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExECB Interest Rates: December 2026
PolymarketWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES iff the lower bound of the fed funds target rate is 10.00% or higher before January 1st, 2030 according to the US federal reserve.
Offene Märkte
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 935.698,8 €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8,5 Mio. €
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Interest rates above 10% before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 79% (Stand: 19. September 2026).
- Wann wird Interest rates above 10% before 2030? entschieden?
- Interest rates above 10% before 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Interest rates above 10% before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES iff the lower bound of the fed funds target rate is 10.00% or higher before January 1st, 2030 according to the US federal reserve.