In what year will China's nominal GDP first exceed that of the United States?
InflationOne-OffWirtschaftDevisenChina
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2035-2039 22.3%Führend unter 5 Optionen
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Veraltet9. Juni 25, 00:19 UTC31. Dez. 00, 23:59 UTC
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China already became the world's largest economy on a purchasing-power-parity (PPP) basis in 2016, according to both the World Bank and IMF estimates, even though the United States still leads when measured at market exchange rates.
- As of 2024, China's nominal GDP is about 73 % of the U.S. level ($18.3 tn vs $25.0 tn in 2022 IMF data) and the gap has been narrowing roughly 1-2 percentage points per year.
- Whether-and when-China overtakes the U.S. in nominal terms hinges on factors such as:
- real growth differentials,
- inflation and deflation trends,
- RMB-USD exchange-rate movements, and
