In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday?
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Veraltet1. Feb. 23, 18:49 UTC2. Feb. 28, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Doomsday Clock be between 76-83 seconds to Midnight in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow much time before midnight on Doomsday Clock in 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Update to the Doomsday Clock
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_Clock
- The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, who make the famous Doomsday Clock, thinks (or claims to think) humanity is now closer to global catastrophe than at any point since 1947*.
- I find this rather hard to believe.
- What does Manifold think? Is a catastrophe coming?
- I don't know how they define "catastrophe", so I'll leave it up to them! I'll count it as a catastrophe if the Bulletin says it's a catastrophe -- that is, if they say that "Doomsday" has come.
- * More precisely, that we thought we were at any point since 1947
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.3pt97%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 998.627,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 667.474,9 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- October 31+3.0pt36%
- September 309%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 257.684,2 €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt22%
- October 31+2.5pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt3%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt96%
- September 25+4.0pt88%
- September 23+7.5pt74%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday? entschieden?
- In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday? soll am 2. Februar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_Clock