Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Ja 70.5%Prognostiker
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 20 Stunden
Veraltet20. Juli 24, 22:41 UTC2. Jan. 28, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Must be >=8:00 minutes, single prompt (of whatever length) without revisions
- Must have the distinctive Skibidi feel
- The story must be broadly consistent with the Skibidi canon
- The AI-generated episode(s) must be made publicly available and have >1M views in aggregate
- Subjective, so I will not trade in this market.
