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Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet20. Juli 24, 22:41 UTC2. Jan. 28, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Must be >=8:00 minutes, single prompt (of whatever length) without revisions
- Must have the distinctive Skibidi feel
- The story must be broadly consistent with the Skibidi canon
- The AI-generated episode(s) must be made publicly available and have >1M views in aggregate
- Subjective, so I will not trade in this market.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full Skibidi Toilet episode to a prompt??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full Skibidi Toilet episode to a prompt? entschieden?
- In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full Skibidi Toilet episode to a prompt? soll am 2. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full Skibidi Toilet episode to a prompt? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Must be >=8:00 minutes, single prompt (of whatever length) without revisions