Aktuelle Community-Prognose
None— vacant thoughout end of term in Jan 20 2029 64.8%Führend unter 4 Optionen
None— vacant thoughout end of term in Jan 20 2029 64.8%Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet3. Juli 24, 01:56 UTC22. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Superintelligence be developed in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be President at any point in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
Manifold MarketsTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketIn 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves to “the named outcome” if the named outcome, otherwise to name of individual appointee.
- If Trump ceases being President for any reason, will be the successor President(s) within same presidential term.
- Update 2025-12-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to a confirmed appointee in the Director role, not an Acting director or someone serving under a Presidential Delegated Duty (PDD).
- Acting directors do not qualify for resolution.
