Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 13:26 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 85.3%
Prognostiker
61
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet20. Dez. 25, 02:11 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Superintelligence be developed in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be President at any point in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election on November 5, 2024, and will be inaugurated as the 47th president.
- This market resolves YES if Trump remains president on December 31, 2028.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer president on that date for any reason, including death, resignation, removal from office, or loss of a subsequent election.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official status of the U.S. presidency on December 31, 2028, via the White House website (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) or official government records.
- The President and Vice President serve four-year terms.
