Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 79.4%
Prognostiker
61
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet20. Dez. 25, 02:11 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Superintelligence be developed in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president on January 19, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election on November 5, 2024, and will be inaugurated as the 47th president.
- This market resolves YES if Trump remains president on December 31, 2028.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer president on that date for any reason, including death, resignation, removal from office, or loss of a subsequent election.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official status of the U.S. presidency on December 31, 2028, via the White House website (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) or official government records.
- The President and Vice President serve four-year terms.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 79% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028? entschieden?
- Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria