FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 53%
Nein 53%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
539,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
11
Kommentare
1
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is elected President of the United States in the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Resolution will be based primarily on the official results declared by the Federal Election Commission (FEC), and other official U.S. government sources such as state certifications aggregated by the National Archives.
- If Gavin Newsom is the winner of the Electoral College and is therefore the President-elect, the market resolves to "Yes".
- If any other candidate is the winner, the market resolves to "No".
- Market Period: This market concerns the outcome of the November 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Futuur may decide to resolve the market at any point after 7 Nov 2028, once it considers that the official election results, concession speeches, and any eventual legal actions or recounts have conclusively clarified who the upcoming president will be.
