If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahlGeopolitik2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 56%
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Veraltet31. Dez. 24, 13:07 UTC21. Jan. 29, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?
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PolymarketRegeln
High-ranking Republicans with plausible knowledge by the candidate
- Militias like the Proud Boys count
- MAGA-aligned independent would count
- Needs to have had a significant (>=10%) chance of success, according to traders' opinions
- Aborted plan or random document doesn't count
- Plan needs to be executed, or disrupted by law enforcement
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 56% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition] entschieden?
- If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition] soll am 21. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: High-ranking Republicans with plausible knowledge by the candidate