PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 72%
Nein 72%Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
23,6 €
Liquidität
15.408,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
28.0% / 29.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+3.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
25. Sept. 26, 22:33 UTC4. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketIf Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated?
Manifold MarketsHow many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, the Republican party nominee fails to win one or more of the Senate races listed below.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The relevant races are the currently-scheduled United States Senate races in: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida (Special), Idaho, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Wyoming.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
- If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected.
- Candidates who run as independents or third-party candidates will not be considered to be Republicans regardless of affiliation or caucus decisions.