If human brain emulations are created, will they outnumber the biological human population within a decade?
KIOne-OffManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 53.7%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet10. Juni 24, 09:56 UTC1. Jan. 00, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
The emulations would not have to be uploads of specific human brains, nor would they need to be running in real-time.
- A working definition of a human brain emulation could be a computer program that:
- Can perform any cognitive task at a standard equal or greater than the 10th percentile of the global biological human population
- Can consistently pass a strong adversarial Turing test
- Is known to have its cognition emerge entirely from internal structures and rules analogous to that of biological human brains down to the neuron level
