If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 72% (Stand: 17. September 2026).

Wann wird If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028? entschieden?

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028? soll am 7. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.

Wie wird If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves NA if Trump does not win.

KALSHI

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

• Above 3.2%98%
• Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
• Above 3.3%98%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

266.407 €

24h-Volumen

76.429,4 €

KALSHI

Unemployment in September

• Above 3.8%+1.0pt98%
• Above 3.7%97%
• Above 3.9%+1.0pt92%

+11 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

93.133,2 €

24h-Volumen

KALSHI

CPI in September

• Above -0.1%99%
• Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
• Above 0.0%99%

+11 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

157.735,6 €

24h-Volumen

35.329,5 €

KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No94%
• Yes-1.0pt6%

Gesamtvolumen

3,1 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

12.271,6 €

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No+2.0pt90.1%
• Yes-2.0pt9.9%

Gesamtvolumen

1,7 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

12.129 €

KALSHI

Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

• Above 2.1%+1.0pt99%
• Above 2.2%+1.0pt98%
• Above 2.3%+5.0pt86%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

• Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
• Recession in 2027?
• CPI core in October
• CPI core in September
• Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
• Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
• Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
• CPI in October
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• State of the economy at the end of 2026
• US Nominal GDP in 2026
• China unemployment rate in September