If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?
KI1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognosePalantir 16.6%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
85
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert21. Jan. 26, 17:44 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If an AI system is causes the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame? (no n/a)
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Clarifications:
- If there are multiple events where an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by end of 2027, the market will resolve to the AI company responsible for the first such event.
- If no AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by end of 2027, this market will resolve to N/A (not to a "no event" option).
- The market is not limited to LLMs only.
- Other AI companies such as Anduril or Palantir are also eligible for resolution.
- Responsibility determination involves judgment calls by the creator.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Palantir mit 17% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame? entschieden?
- If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Clarifications: