If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be?
SpaceWissenschaft3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseCompletely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) 42.9%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert24. Feb. 26, 19:02 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will be true about the next person confirmed to the US Supreme Court [Mega Market]?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold MarketsConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaliens/aliens/kxaliens-27
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
- NOTE: neither of these markets requires aliens to actually exist.
- They just require a cabinet member or federal agency to definitively state that aliens exist.
- If both resolve NO, then this resolves to N/A.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) mit 43% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? entschieden?
- If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.
