Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 76%+6.0ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+6.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet10. Nov. 26, 01:41 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If a House vote on Hegseth Impeachment happens in 2026, How many Republicans vote to impeach?
Manifold MarketsWill Haley Stevens lose a committee assignment or her ranking post?
KalshiWill Haley Stevens leave the House Democratic Caucus?
KalshiWill Haley Stevens leave the Democratic Party by Dec 31?
PredictItWas Haley Stevens paid to endorse Mike Rodgers?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiRegeln
N/a if no vote before Jan 3 2027.
- Resolves based on first vote.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the option corresponding to U.S. Representative Haley Stevens' recorded floor vote on the first House resolution containing articles of impeachment against Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth brought to a full floor vote in the United States House of Representatives.
- The possible outcomes resolve as follows:
- Yes: Representative Stevens votes "Yea" or "Aye" on the adoption of the resolution (or on any individual article if voted on separately; if voted on separately, resolving "Yes" if she votes "Yea" on at least one article).
